Saturday, August 05, 2023

The Intelligent Punter's Guide to Glorious Goodwood (Day 5)

Neil Clark Winners so far this week; Lord Riddiford 8-1 (NAP), Kinross 10-11, Paddington 4-9, Vandeek 11-8, Ornellala 7-4, Temporize 6-1, Highfield Princess 4-9, Hamish 5-6. Places: Man of Eden 10-1; Sonny Liston (5th) 20-1; Wizard Of Eye (6th) 28-1; True Legend 10-1. 1.50 A tricky opener in which you could make a case for several of the runners. Zaman Jemil won going away last time and rates a worthy market leader; at longer odds the well-handicapped bottom weight Capote’s Dream, last year’s 12-1 winner Many a Star (who‘s now 2lbs lower), and Cooperation whose last win was in similarly testing conditions, are ones for the each-way shortlist. 2.25 Team Gosden won this last year with Trawlerman who then went on to win the Ebor, and they’ll be trying the same thing with Sweet William who needs to win here to get into the York showpiece later this month. Best each-way could be Omniscent (10-1), who ran out of fuel in the closing stages of the Northumberland Plate but who should be ideally suited by the drop back to 1m6f, and whose trainer Sir Mark Prescott has won the race before. 3.00 Team Gosden have three of the last seven runnings of the Lillie Langtry and so you’ve got to give a big chance to Free Wind, who can be forgiven a rare disappointing effort at Royal Ascot last time. River of Stars looks next best. 3.35 Mr Wagyu may be getting on a bit but he won the Stewards’ Cup in the mud two years ago and in similar conditions today represents each-way value at around 12-1. Trainer John Quinn has been on fire at Goodwood this week with three winners and one second, and his charge has slipped to a mark 6lbs lower than he won off in 2022. Plenty more can be given chances in the 28 runner cavalry charge, including the well-regarded favourite Orazio, whose trainer Charlie Hills has won the race twice in recent years, and at longer odds Albasheer, Mum’s Tipple and Significantly. 4.10 Sophia’s Starlight was second here over a shorter trip four days ago and may well do a ‘Novus‘ by turning a Goodwood place into a win. Chartwell House could be the main danger. 4.45 Charlie Johnston nominated Individualist as the horse he was most excited about running this week and the half-brother of Ascot Gold Cup winner Subjectivist is taken to win the maiden. Andrew Balding has won the last two runnings and Royal Supremacy could be the best of his two entries. 5.20 It could be madness not to have an each-way wager on One Step Beyond as he gets in here off bottom weight which should count for a lot more in the testing conditions. Trainer Gary Moore has already had a winner at the meeting this week and son Ryan takes over from a 7lbs claimer. If you've enjoyed reading the Guide, and it helps you win a bit of money (hopefully!), then all donations greatly received.

Friday, August 04, 2023


(Winners so far this week: Lord Riddiford 8-1 (NAP), Kinross 10-11, Paddington 4-9, Vandeek 11-8, Ornellaia 7-4; places: Man of Eden 10-1.) A very tricky card today with tons of runners but let’s examine past trends and try and beat the bookies! 1.50 Just one winner of the 2m4 and a half furlong Coral Goodwood Handicap has carried more than 9st in the last ten years; with the 8st 8lbs mark about the average weight of the winners. The race has also seen its fair share of long-priced winners too. Temporise (13-2), and at a bigger prices Land of Winter (20-1) and Winterwatch (33-1), match those weight trends. Law of the Sea (13-2) carries 9st 2lbs but his trainer Ian Williams has won the race three times and so is also worthy of consideration under the in-form Jim Crowley. 2.25. Sir Michael Stoute has had some fancied runners run disappointingly this week, so the odds-on favourite Nostrum isn’t bomb proof; however on form he’s the likeliest winner of this race which his trainer has a good record in. Docklands looks next best. 3.00 The Golden Mile is a real challenge with 21 going to past, but there is a very strong trend in that eight of the last nine runnings have been won by horses drawn 1-5 with three of the last five winners drawn 3. Clearly the favourite Lattam, drawn 3, and last year’s third Revich, who runs off the same mark and is drawn 1, have to go on the shortlist, together with Sonny Liston, who’s in 2 and who‘ll benefit by dropping back to a mile. David O’Meara has a good record in the race; his 1-2 from last year, Orbaan and Blue For You are back for more and despite their higher draws also have to be considered each-way, along with Rhoscolyn, who was runner-up in 2021 and was 7th last year off a much higher mark. The Wizard of Eye, drawn 6, ran very well in a Group 3 over course and distance last year, and could be the best of the real long-shots. 3.35 Highland Princess has been running really well in top sprints this season and the drop to Group 2 level should allow her to get her head in front even though you won‘t get rich backing her unless you really wade in . Her trainer John Quinn has already had two winners and a second at the meeting this week. Equality looks next best while at much bigger odds Czech raider Ponntos, not beaten far in fifth last year makes some each-way appeal. 4.10 ’Hamishs 3lbs penalty makes this harder but he still appeals as the likeliest winner, with Mimikyu next best. 4.45 Flag of St George narrowly failed to get up at Windsor last time and could well go one better in this 6f nursery, while Loaded Gun was staying on very strongly when winning over 5f last time and is another to consider. 5.20 True Legend gets in here with a 6lbs penalty for winning at Salisbury last Saturday and the Sir Mark Prescott runner could be each-value at around 10-1. If you enjoyed reading this guide and it helped you in any way to find some winners, then please consider making a small donation. That would be greatly appreciated. Many thanks!